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Suggested Reading List

 

 

Stars(5) Description
5 Dr. William Quirin’s 1979 book, Winning at the Races
is the classic statistical handicapping book. He covers handicapping from just about every aspect imaginable:

  • Early Speed
  • Form Cycle and Recency
  • Speed Ratings
  • Earnings Box Class
  • Level-Based Class
  • and more…

The biggest discovery Quirin made was that early speed wins races. His “Quirin Early Speed Points” are still an accepted way to predict who is going to the front.

5 Tom Brohamer’s Modern Pace Handicapping
is the best explanation of the Sartin Methodology available. Brohamer was a driving force in the Sartin group’s success of the 1980s and early 1990s. His idea of modeling each track, surface and distance (known then as “The Brohamer Model”) to develop a winning profile still drives a huge percentage of handicapping today.This book covers:

  • Paceline selection
  • EP and SP (Early Pace, Sustained Pace)
  • Simple Modeling

If you have any interest in Pace Handicapping, this is a must-read book.

Note that this is an updated version of the original.

 

 

 

5 Percentages & Probabilities Dave Schwartz’s Percentages & Probabilities (E-Book)
Yes, I actually wrote this one myself. If you liked Quirin’s Winning at the Races, you will just love this. Just think of Quirin’s book updated to 2012 and on steroids. Over 400 pages of factor discussions, 24 different impact value systems for everything from claiming sprints to turf routes. In addition, there are 1,300 additional pages of system-specific impact value tables! Over 2,500 tables of data, drawn from a database of over 100,000 races. Sorry if this seems less-than-humble, but if you are a horseplayer, this book really is a “5-star” read.
I will be adding one book per week. Stay tuned.

 

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