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Episode 2 | HSH Insiders’ Club

The Dynamic Bayesian Pickmaster

Watch as Dave Schwartz teaches users of the HorseStreet Handicapper software advanced techniques.
(Video link below.)

PickMaster The PickMaster is an HSH tool that allows the user to select several hundred ranking factors and determine which factors perform the best against a particular "Filter" (i.e. set of race characteristics). "Best" can be defined by the user.

Example: "Show me the factors that have returned the highest $Net in the top 2 rank positions."

Filter A Filter is a template-based set of variables that allow a user to filter through past races in the database.

Example: "I want the last 100 races at Santa Anita, 6fur dirt, fast track, older males, non-maiden, on a Thursday in January."

Dynamic A Dynamic Filter is a filter that is designed to create other filter. Using the above example as a base: "I want the last 100 races at [Today's Track], [This Race Dist and Surface], [This Race's Track Condition], [This Race's Age & Sex], [This Race's Type], on [This Race's day-of-week], in [This Race's month-of-year].

With the click of a single button...

  1. a custom filter is created for the race.
  2. the qualifying races are found in the database.
  3. the PickMaster is run to determine which factors are most important.
  4. a Handicapping Object is created from those factors.
  5. the race is ready to handicap.
Bayesian This video shows how to apply simplistic Bayesian Analysis to the handicapping process. Absolutely no math is needed by the user!

 

https://objects-us-east-1.dream.io/pmtr-videos/Talk-hcp/HSH_Inside-0002.mp4

The Dynamic Bayesian Pickmaster

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