Pace Makes the Race Blogcast: Why Your Extra Handicapping is Killing You
Recently there was a discussion in our Talking Handicapping Facebook group where someone asked if anyone pays attention to the payoffs in the daily double pool.
I really see this as part of what I call the “Too Many Moving Parts” problem. Now, don’t misunderstand me: I am not saying that this particular angle has no value. But it is a very good example of why so many handicappers drift so far afield from their core handicapping process by adding little unqualified bits of information at the end of the handicapping process.
Let’s say that a handicapper has developed a workable core process that does a good job of selecting contenders and determining value. He’s done this over time (hopefully) through studying his handicapping alongside results. In other words, he has VALIDATED HIS METHOD.
On the way to the window, either literally or figuratively, he looks up and sees that one of his non-contenders is getting heavy action in the daily double pool. Suddenly, his focus shifts to taking a second look at this horse.
What he is doing at this point is adding something to his handicapping process that has not been properly vetted through study.
Worse still, he has diluted the heart of his process – the CORE of his handicapping!
Your personal handicapping mantra needs to be, PRESERVE THE CORE PROCESS!
For more of this discussion, watch the video below or listen to the podcast.
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