Part 2: Derek Talks About Building Angles Share Continued from Part 1: I generally like my angles to have a 40% strike rate or greater. There are a couple of things that cause inconsistency in horse racing. One of them is your hit rate, the other which also defines your Kelly advantage – is […]
Dave Schwartz & Derek Simon: Spot Plays and Handicapping Angles
Pace Makes The Race Podcast Dave Schwartz and Derek Simon discuss handicapping spot plays, databases, looking for value, and a myriad of other topics. Structuring spot plays Number of factors to use Reality check Derek’s “Base 5” Why recency matters even though stats don’t support it. Derek on Bounce Theory Negative Spot Plays on Low […]
Overcoming Late Odds Changes
About 2 years ago I began using 2 different pseudo-tote approaches. (Many HSH users are doing similar, I believe.) I have shared these objects with all of our users. (Special note: Those who believe that nobody would ever give away anything of value might as well stop reading right now.) Object #1 Comprised of 6 factors, […]
Learning From the Masters Series – Chapter 2
Hi, this is Dave Schwartz. This is Learning from the Masters, Part 2. This chapter is about Modeling Metrics. It is all about what to do after you have built a model. Now, when I say Model, do not automatically think pace handicapping. Of course, this podcast could apply to pace handicapping, but it does not […]
Learning From the Masters Series – Chapter 1
OVERVIEW OF THE SERIES Many people voiced their opinions on which influential horse handicapping authors they would like to explore, and I have developed the series to explore these authors theories, ideas, and how they shaped handicapping in general. More importantly, how the concepts can be applied today. Here are some of the authors we […]